#4. Is It Even Possible to Contain COVID-19?
March 16, 2020
Extraordinary times call for extraordinary measures. At least two different countries, China and Italy, have turned this aphorism into an official government response to the coronavirus, issuing quarantines that cover millions of people and enforcing extraordinary lifestyle changes. But these kinds of measures can’t last forever. The public is willing to tolerate massive disruptions to daily life only when it believes the disruptions will end.
#3. The Most Important Coronavirus Question
March 9, 2020
The first person to die from coronavirus on American soil passed away on Feb. 29 at a Seattle area hospital – incidentally, the same hospital where my daughter was born just ten and a half months ago.
#2. How Dangerous Is the Wuhan Coronavirus?
February 17, 2020
The political and economic effects of the new coronavirus – both in China and across the globe – hinge overwhelmingly on just how successful efforts to stop its spread are likely to be. Forecasting these, therefore, requires us to take a closer look at the mechanics of both contagion and containment.
#1. Chinese New Year 2020: The Year of the Coronavirus
January 24, 2020
The biggest political and economic effects of pandemics come from public panic and panicked government responses, not the disease itself.